Market Update by Solidecn.com

[Solid ECN]

NZDUSD Awaits New Declines

The NZDUSD pair provided slight positive trades yesterday to test 0.56 barrier, noticing that stochastic begins to provide negative signals now, waiting to motivate the price to resume the bearish wave that its targets begin by breaking 0.5564 to open the way to visit 0.55.



The EMA50 (BB middle line) supports the expected decline, which will remain valid unless the price rallied to breach 0.564 followed by 0.5705 levels and hold above them. The expected trading range for today is between 0.553 support and 0.5640 resistance. The expected trend for today: Bearish.

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EURUSD builds bearish channel

The EURUSD pair continues to fluctuate around 0.97 level, and finds difficulty to confirm breaking it, noticing that the price moves inside intraday bearish channel that supports the chances of continuing the expected bearish wave for the upcoming period, which targets 0.963 followed by 0.955 levels as next main stations.



In general, we will continue to suggest the bearish trend unless breaching 0.9790 level and holding above it, noting that stochastic loses its positive momentum now to support the chances of resuming the suggested decline.

The expected trading range for today is between 0.96 support and 0.976 resistance. The expected trend for today: Bearish.

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Sterling climbs nearly 1% despite GDP contraction data

Sterling rose against most major currencies on Wednesday despite some negative UK data. Earlier UK data showed GDP contracted 0.3% m/m in September while analysts expected no change in the growth rate.



The Greenback

The dollar index rose 0.2% to 113.4 as of 17:05 GMT, with a session-high at 113.5, and a low at 113.05. Tomorrow, market await consumer prices data for September. Such data will give a clue about the future directions for the Federal Reserve on monetary policies and rate decisions. Earlier US data showed producer prices rose 0.4% m/m in September, above estimates of 0.2%.

The Federal Reserve will release minutes of the September meeting, at which it decided to hike rates by 75 basis points, the third such hike in a row to 3.25%, the highest since 2008.

[Solid ECN]

Crude oil price approaches the extended target

Crude oil price shows positive trades to approach testing the key resistance 88.65, which represents one of the next trend keys besides 86.65 support line, as the price needs to surpass one of these levels to detect its destination clearly, which makes us continue with our neutrality until now.



To review the details of the expected targets of the beach, the expected trading range for today is between 85.50 support and 89.50 resistance. The expected trend for today: Neutral

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​IBM gives in to negative pressures

IBM's stock skidded in the intraday levels after the company announced an investment of $20 million in New York in PC devices, hybrid cloud services, AI, and quantum computers, with the stock sliding 2.79%, and settling at 122.23, with trading volumes surpassing 5 million shares, above 10-day averages of 4.4 million shares.





Technically, the stock is hurt by negative pressure from the 50-day SMA, while hurt by piercing the upward trend line recently in the short term, as the RSI reached overbought levels. Therefore, we expect more losses for the stock, targeting the first resistance at 118.80, provided the resistance of 126.30 held on.


Expected trend for today: Bearish

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USDCHF - Growth is possible.

On the daily chart, a downward correction ended as the second wave of the higher level 2, and the formation of the upward third wave 3 started, within which the wave (1) of 3 develops. Now, the fifth wave of the lower level 5 of (1) is forming, and the wave iii of 3 is developing.

If the assumption is correct, the USDCHF pair will grow to the area of 1.02 – 1.03. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 0.9716.

[Solid ECN]

NZDUSD presses on the support

The NZDUSD pair resumes its negative trading to press on 0.5564 level again, waiting for confirmed break to open the way to head towards our next target at 0.55. The technical indicators provide negative signals that support the continuation of the expected decline, which will remain valid conditioned by the price stability below 0.5640.



The expected trading range for today is between 0.55 support and 0.5615 resistance, and the expected trend for today is Bearish.

[Solid ECN]

USDCAD - Growth is possible.

On the daily chart, the fifth upward wave of the higher level 5 develops, within which the wave (1) of 5 formed, the correctional wave (2) of 5 ended, and the wave (3) of 5 develops. Now, the third wave of the lower level 3 of (3) is developing, within which a local correction has ended as the fourth wave iv of 3, and the development of the wave v of 3 has started.

If the assumption is correct, the USDCAD pair will grow to the area of 1.41 – 1.43. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 1.3507.

[Solid ECN]

Crude Oil Technical Outlook

Crude oil price trades negatively to press on 89.75 level, to hint heading to decline on the intraday basis, targeting testing 88.2 initially, noting that breaking this level will extend the bearish wave towards 86.65 as a next negative target.



Therefore, the bearish bias will be suggested for today, noting that breaching 90.6 will stop the current negative pressure and lead the price to resume the bullish wave that its next main target located at 93.17. The expected trading range for today is between 88 support and 91 resistances.

The expected trend for today: Bearish

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USDCHF Technical Outlook

The long-term trend remains upward. Yesterday, the traders broke through the resistance level of 0.995, which opens up the target for buyers around ​​the June high of 1.0040. If it is broken, the next target will be 1.0120. If the price returns below the resistance level of 0.9950, a correction is likely with the nearest target at 0.9840.





The medium-term trend is up. Last week, quotes overcame target zone 3 (0.9903–0.9890), and the target for purchases for this week was zone 4 (1.0049–1.0034). Today, the traders renewed the high around ​​1.002, and a correction is developing. If within its framework, market participants test the key trend support 0.9876–0.9862, then new long positions from today's high at 1.002 should be considered.




Resistance levels: 1.004, 1.012 | Support levels: 0.994, 0.984