Market Update by Solidecn.com

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EURUSD

The EURUSD pair has soared, reaching the 50% Fibonacci level on the daily chart. Market saturation from buying pressures is evident, as shown by the RSI indicator on the 4-hour chart. Interestingly, the upper line of the previously broken bullish flag now serves as a key support, fueling the uptrend's momentum. This resistance level presents an excellent opportunity for bulls to intensify their pressure on the USD.

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GBPUSD Technical Analysis

During today's trading sessions, the GBPUSD pair made a significant jump, breaking out from the bullish flag pattern. Currently, the pair is testing the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. If it manages to stabilize above this level, the bulls are likely to set their sights on 1.259, followed by a potential rise to 1.272.



The pivot point at 1.218 lends support to this bullish scenario. As long as the pair continues trading above this level, the bullish outlook remains valid and intact.

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EURUSD

The EURUSD currency pair is currently trading within a bullish flag pattern. This suggests a potential rise to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. The pivot, or the lower line of the flag, reinforces this bullish outlook. As long as this level remains intact, we can anticipate an upward trajectory for the EURUSD price.

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The Euro’s Stagnation: Awaiting a Catalyst

Solid ECN - The Euro, Europe’s single currency, has been hovering around the 1.07 mark, seemingly stuck in a narrow band of fluctuation. This pattern has been observed for nearly a week, with the trading range not exceeding 50 to 60 basis points. The market appears to have fully absorbed the 1.07 price level and is now on the lookout for a catalyst that could trigger a significant shift.

In this uncertain climate, investors have understandably been hesitant to make substantial bets, resulting in the exchange rate being confined to a tight range for over a week. This prolonged stagnation carries the risk of a sudden decompression, potentially triggered by the execution of significant stop-loss orders that investors have gradually placed to capitalize on the limited fluctuation range.


Central Banks and Interest Rates: The Unanswered Questions

The future actions of central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve Bank of the United States, remain a topic of speculation. The key question is whether the Federal Reserve has definitively ended its cycle of interest rate hikes. Currently, there is a slim chance of another 25 basis point hike. However, today’s announcement regarding the trajectory of US Consumer Inflation could drastically alter these odds, leading to significant exchange rate volatility.


The European Economy: A Mild Recession on the Horizon?

The development path of the European economy is not expected to hold any surprises. Most scenarios predict a mild recession in the European economy, which undoubtedly hampers the Euro’s attempts to gain strong upward momentum.

Despite these challenges, I would advise maintaining the same strategy and attempting to purchase the Euro following significant dips. The Euro’s resilience and ability to bounce back remain promising.
In conclusion, adopting a wait-and-see approach in anticipation of important announcements is often one of the best strategies. The impact of these economic factors on the economy is a complex issue, with both potential benefits and drawbacks. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for making informed decisions.

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Analyzing Cardano's Market Trends

FxNews - Cardano's market value has recently seen a significant decline, falling from the resistance level of 0.653. At present, the ADAUSD pair is hovering around the pivot point of 0.6351. Interestingly, a hammer candlestick pattern has appeared on the daily chart right at this pivot, suggesting a possible end to the current downward trend.





A Deeper Dive into the Numbers

For a more detailed analysis, we look at the 4-hour chart. Here, it's evident that the ADAUSD pair has broken through the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Given that the pair is currently in a bearish flag pattern, it seems likely that the next downward target could be the 78.6% Fibonacci level.





A Potential Turnaround?

However, the market is unpredictable and there's a twist in the tale. If the bulls manage to escape from this bearish flag and push the price above the 50% Fibonacci mark, we could see Cardano start to climb again. The initial targets for this potential rise? A jump to 0.646, with the ultimate goal being the November high of 0.652.

Stay connected for more updates on the ever-changing journey of ADAUSD.

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GBPUSD Technical Analysis

News Solid ECN- The GBPUSD currency pair is declining after encountering resistance at the upper band of the channel, as anticipated. Currently, the pair is showing downward momentum, trading below the 1.228 pivot point. Notably, the RSI indicator has risen above the 50 level, indicating that bulls are attempting to retest the pivot.




As long as the pair stays below the pivot, the outlook remains bearish, with 1.213 (S1) as the target.

Conversely, if bulls manage to close above the pivot and stabilize the price, the GBPUSD could potentially rise, retesting the R1 level again. However, please note that the trend is still bearish; even if the pair rises to test R1, going long is not recommended. The R1 level or the upper band of the bullish flag may provide a strong resistance zone, offering bears an opportunity to exert additional pressure.

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EURGBP

FxNews - The EURGBP trend is bullish, with trading in the upward flag. However, the uptick momentum eased this week after the EURGBP price hit the middle line of the bullish flag in the daily chart.





To have a better insight into the price action, we shall zoom into the EURGBP 4H chart. The pair broke the bullish trend line in the 4H chart (shown in red), and currently, it is testing the 0.872 pivot. If the price closes below the pivot, the correction would likely continue to the lower levels, starting with the 0.868 support (S1).





Please note, the market is bullish. Therefore, going short on the currency pair is not suggested. The 0.868 deck provides a decent supply zone to increase bullish bids on the pair.

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EURJPY

The EURJPY currency pair has recently experienced a bounce from the upper line of the bullish flag, as observed in the 4-hour chart. This significant movement has caused the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to flip below the overbought zone. Despite the bullish trend, there's a possibility that the pair might correct the recent gains to the 160.7 support level, also known as S1.

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A Closer Look at the Positive Turnaround for Spanish Stocks


FxNews- The Spanish stock market has recently experienced a significant upswing, with the IBEX 35 index climbing to 9,440. This rise brings the index near its two-month peak, outpacing the majority of its European counterparts. The banking sector appears to be the driving force behind this surge, as it has seen substantial gains.
The Banking Sector Spearheads the Rally


Among the banks, Banco Sabadell emerged as the top performer with a 3% increase, followed closely by Bankinter with a 2.6% rise. CaixaBank and BBVA also contributed to the rally with gains of 1.9% and 1.4% respectively. This upward trend in the banking sector has played a pivotal role in the overall performance of the Spanish stock market.



Other Sectors Join the Upward Trend


The telecommunications and real estate sectors have also seen considerable advances, following the lead of the banking sector. However, not all sectors shared in the prosperity. Acciona and Acciona Energia, for instance, experienced a slight downturn, with their stocks falling by 0.8% and 0.7% respectively.
A Broader Perspective


On a larger scale, investors seem to have brushed aside the recent downgrade of the US debt outlook to negative by Moody’s. Instead, the focus has shifted to key inflation releases due this week. The impact of these releases on the global and Spanish economy will be something to watch closely.


In conclusion, the rebound of the Spanish stocks, led by the banking sector, paints a positive picture for the country’s economy. However, it’s important to keep an eye on the broader economic landscape, including inflation rates and international credit ratings, to fully understand the potential implications for the economy.

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EURUSD Market Outlook: Bullish Trend Amid Bearish Flags

The EURUSD currency pair is currently navigating within a bearish flag pattern, yet it remains above the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling a potential bullish market. As the pair tests the resistance at 1.06988, the market anticipates a possible upward trend.

EURUSD bulls face the challenge of the bearish flag, which stands as an obstacle to driving the price towards the next resistance level at 1.07353. However, as long as the EURUSD continues to trade within the confines of the bearish flag, the primary target remains at testing Support 1 (S1).



Conversely, should the bulls manage to break out of the bearish channel, it could pave the way towards Resistance 3 (R3). This scenario would indicate a significant shift in market dynamics, potentially triggering a new wave of bullish momentum for the EURUSD pair.