Market Update by Solidecn.com

[Solid ECN]

Canadian Dollar Peaks on Inflation, BoC Outlook




Solid ECN – The Canadian dollar rose past 1.33 against the USD in December, reaching its highest level since early August. This increase is due to ongoing high inflation in Canada, leading to expectations that the Bank of Canada might take a more aggressive approach in its monetary policy. In November, the main inflation rate was at 3.1%, higher than the expected 2.9%. The closely watched core rate, which removes certain items, was at 3.5%, also higher than predicted.

This data supports the central bank's concern about continuing high inflation, suggesting they might keep their strict monetary policy and possibly raise interest rates. This is different from the more cautious approach of the Federal Reserve, which helped the Canadian dollar gain value against the US dollar.

Early reports for November show that Canada's economy grew compared to the previous month. However, updated figures for October indicate the economy didn't grow much, which is in line with the Bank of Canada's predictions for the economy.

[Solid ECN]

Swiss Franc Hits Record High Against USD & Euro



The Swiss franc strengthened past 0.85 against the USD in late December, marking its highest level since August 2011. It is poised to register an 8.5% increase against the dollar this year, influenced by differing interest rate outlooks from the Swiss National Bank (SNB) and the Federal Reserve. The Fed's latest meeting revealed dovish projections, further amplified by new data indicating a slowdown in US inflation, which put pressure on the greenback.

In Switzerland, despite a slowdown in inflation, the SNB has noted that the potential for price growth to increase justifies maintaining higher interest rates for now. Inflation in Switzerland was last reported at 1.4% in November. However, the central bank anticipates a rise towards its 2% target in the second and third quarters of 2024. This forecast leads investors to expect that any reductions in interest rates by the SNB will likely occur well after the Fed's similar actions.

The sustained prospect of higher interest rates from the SNB has also propelled the franc to a record high against the Euro, the currency used in neighboring countries.

[Solid ECN]

AUDUSD Eyes May 2023 High Amid Mixed Signals



Solid ECN – The Aussie dollar is currently seeing a 20-pip dip from yesterday's high in this trading session. At the moment, the pair is testing the Ichimoku cloud on the 1-hour chart, while technical indicators are showing mixed signals.

Should the AUDUSD price stay above its current level, the uptrend is likely to persist. In such a scenario, the price could soar to 0.6900, which was the all-time high in May 2023.

It's important to note that the lower band of the bullish flag is key. As long as the price remains within the flag, the uptrend remains intact.

[Solid ECN]

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[Solid ECN]

US Stock Futures Analysis: Steady End to Strong Year

Solid ECN – US stock futures remained stable on Thursday, as investors reflected on a year marked by robust gains in equities. The previous trading day saw the Dow increase by 0.3%, while the Nasdaq Composite rose slightly by 0.16%. The S&P 500 also saw a modest gain of 0.14%, approaching record levels. In this upward trend, eight out of the 11 S&P sectors closed higher, with real estate, healthcare, and consumer staples leading the charge.

The market's upward momentum is largely driven by the anticipation that the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates next year. Bit Digital, an American bitcoin mining company, experienced an 18.6% surge in its shares. This followed its announcement to double its mining operations by 2024. Coherus BioSciences also enjoyed a significant 23.4% jump in its stock value after receiving US FDA approval for its new drug delivery device to fight infections.




Looking forward, both the Dow and S&P 500 are set to conclude the year with substantial gains, over 13% and 24% respectively. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite has impressively rallied by 44.3% this year. This steady performance in US stock futures analysis reflects a year of consistent growth in the stock market.

[Solid ECN]

NZX 50’s Remarkable Climb: A Four-Month High

Solid ECN –The NZX 50, New Zealand’s benchmark index, experienced a significant surge, gaining 90.25 points or 0.77% to close at 11,768.68 last Thursday. This marked the fourth consecutive session of growth, pushing the index to its highest point in over four months. This upward trend was observed amidst a relatively calm trading environment as the holiday season approached, with most sectors witnessing gains.

The positive sentiment was largely driven by the recent global stock market rally, with expectations of interest rate cuts in 2024 by major central banks, including the US Federal Reserve. Additionally, there is growing optimism that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), known for its hawkish stance, might adopt a more dovish approach in the coming year. This could potentially involve a significant rate cut aimed at stimulating the sluggish economy, a move that could occur earlier than the central bank’s late 2025 projection.

In China, New Zealand’s primary trading partner, the two largest cities, Beijing and Shanghai, have recently lowered downpayment ratios and relaxed some housing qualifications for lower mortgages. This move has had a positive impact on the NZX 50.

Among the companies listed on the NZX 50, Restaurant Brands NZ saw a substantial increase of 5.3%, while Seeka Ltd. rose by 3.7%. Other notable performers included Delegat Group Ltd., Gentrack Group Ltd., and Winton Land Ltd., which gained 3.2%, 2.6%, and 1.9% respectively.

Source

[Solid ECN]

US Oil Trades Near $80.5, Bulls Eye 50% Fibonacci

Solid ECN – US oil is currently trading at around $80.5 per barrel. The upward momentum has eased near the 38.2% Fibonacci level, yet the bulls have successfully maintained the oil price above the simple moving average. Notably, there is one bearish signal: the divergence in the Awesome Oscillator. Consequently, we can anticipate the price potentially dipping to the lower band of the bullish flag, with the 38.2% level acting as resistance.

[Solid ECN]

Silver Price Dips, Trend Reversal Looming?

In today’s trading, the price of Silver dipped to the Ichimoku cloud. The divergence in the awesome oscillator hints at a possible trend reversal or the start of price consolidation. The current bullish trend is supported by the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. If the bears push the price below this level, we could see the Silver price decline extend to 23.6%.

On the other hand, if the awesome oscillator bars gain momentum above the signal level and the RSI indicator moves above the median line, we might see the bullish wave continue. In this scenario, the price could rise to test the 61.8% support level again. Keep an eye on these indicators for potential market movements!

[Solid ECN]

USDCNH RSI Uncertainty, Bullish Outlook Remains

Solid ECN​​​​​​​ – The USDCNH currency pair is currently hovering near the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo, while the RSI indicator presents a level of uncertainty. Despite mixed signals from technical indicators, the market is trending upwards. The bullish channel, which began in mid-November 2023, supports this current trend. The bulls are now eyeing the 7.1577 to 7.1637 resistance zone. If USDCNH can demonstrate strength above the cloud, the price is expected to rise to the upper band of the bullish flag.

On the other hand, the lower band of the flag underpins the bullish scenario. However, if this level is breached downwards, the above scenario should be accordingly invalidated. In such a case, the price could drop to 7.1117, and potentially even to 7.09669.

[Solid ECN]

Bitcoin Tests Ichimoku Cloud: Price Trend Alert

Solid ECN – Bitcoin has a shift below the Ichimoku cloud. The price is currently testing the cloud as resistance. The price is ranging inside the bearish channel. The RSI indicator hovers below the median line. We expect the bitcoin price decline to $40,600 area if the market ranges inside the flag.

Bitcoin is experiencing a notable shift, now positioned below the Ichimoku cloud. Presently, its price is testing the cloud, facing it as a resistance level. In the midst of this, we're seeing the price moving within a bearish channel. Concurrently, the RSI indicator remains below the median line, signaling a cautious market sentiment.


Should the market continue to range within this flag pattern, we anticipate a potential decline in Bitcoin's price towards the $40,600 area.