Market Update by Solidecn.com

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USDCHF Bullish Trend Supported by Ichimoku Cloud



Solid ECN - The USDCHF currency pair trades sideways above the 0.8782 resistance level inside the Ichimoku cloud. It's worth mentioning that the Ichimoku cloud adds an extra layer of support to the bullish trend that began on February 2 from the 0.8852 mark. The technical indicators on the 4-hour chart don't provide significant data, so we should rely on the horizontal channel depicted in blue on the 4-hour chart.

From a technical standpoint, the upward trend on the 4-hour chart should continue if the bulls cross above the 0.8839 level. This scenario is likely due to the primary USDCHF trend and the awesome oscillator bar turning green in the current trading session.

Conversely, the bears need to stabilize the price below the 0.8782 support to target the 38.2% Fibonacci level. If this scenario comes into play, the high of February 12 can be considered the new higher high, and the price might experience a further decline to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.

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Saudi Arabia's Dec 2023 Trade Surplus Dips Amid Lower Sales

Solid ECN - In December 2023, Saudi Arabia's trade surplus shrank to SAR 38.2 billion from SAR 44.2 billion the year before. The country's exports dropped by 9.7% to SAR 98.5 billion, mainly due to a 15.8% decrease in oil product sales, which make up 73.1% of total exports. Also, non-oil product exports decreased by 3% to SAR 19.15 billion, with a significant fall in plastics and rubber goods sales by 7.6%.

The main export destinations were China (14.8%), Japan (11%), and India (8.8%). On the other hand, imports decreased by 7.1% to SAR 60.4 billion, though there was a rise in the intake of machinery, appliances, and electrical gear by 21.5% and transportation equipment by 20%. China was the largest source of imports, accounting for 21%, followed by the US (8.1%) and UAE (7.8%).

[Solid ECN]

GBPJPY Crosses Minor Resistance


Solid ECN – The GBPJPY currency pair has crossed above the 189.5 minor resistance in the 4-hour chart and is currently testing the broken resistance. The GBPJPY chart above shows that the bulls have successfully stabilized the price above the 23.6% Fibonacci support. Furthermore, the technical indicators are supporting the current bullish trend. The RSI indicator hovers above 50, while the AO (Awesome Oscillator) bars are green and positioned above the signal line.

From a technical standpoint, as long as the GBPJPY trades above the ascending trendline, depicted in blue, the trend will remain bullish and likely aim to break the 190.0 ceilings.

On the flip side, if the price falls and stabilizes below the 23.6% Fibonacci support, the decline from February 12 from the 190.0 mark would extend to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, followed by the 50% level.

[Solid ECN]

Australian Dollar Stabilizes Above Fibonacci Support Against U.S. Dollar


Solid ECN - The Australian dollar stabilizes the price above the 23.6% Fibonacci support level against the U.S. Dollar. Currently, the AUDUSD pair is trading around 0.655. The technical indicators signal a continuation of the bullish bias that began on February 13th. The RSI indicator floats above 50, and the awesome oscillator bar in the 4-hour chart turned green. Meanwhile, 0.6497 serves to support the upward trend. The next likely bullish target will be the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, corresponding to the 0.662 resistance area.

On the other hand, if the AUDUSD price falls below the ascending trendline, depicted in red, the bullish scenario could be invalidated. In this case, the U.S. Dollar would likely test the 0.6442 support.

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GBPUSD Price Decline: Ichimoku Cloud and Channel Analysis



Solid ECN - The GBPUSD price has declined from 1.2629, which aligns with the Ichimoku cloud and the descending trendline, depicted in red. The pair is currently testing the 23.6% Fibonacci support level, which appears weak and may not keep the price from falling. Moreover, the technical indicators support the bearish market, with the RSI indicator hovering below the middle line and the Awesome Oscillator flipping below the signal line.

From a technical standpoint, the downtrend will likely continue as long as the GBPUSD price maintains a position below the 1.2629 resistance. The next target could be 1.2550, followed by 1.2517, the lower low of February 5th.

On the flip side, to invalidate the bearish scenario, the bulls must close and stabilize the price above 1.2629.

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AUDUSD Price Analysis: Testing Fibonacci and Trendline Resistance




Solid ECN - The AUDUSD price stands at 0.653 at the time of writing. Currently, the pair is testing the 0.654 high, which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci level. Interestingly, the bulls have managed to cross above the descending trendline, depicted in blue, and are now attempting to stabilize above this level. Regarding technical indicators, they promise a continuation of the uptick momentum that began on February 13th, starting from the 0.6442 lower low.

From a technical standpoint, if the price holds above the ascending trendline, depicted in red, the bulls will likely rise and test the 0.6623 resistance, backed up by the 38.2% Fibonacci level.

Conversely, the bullish scenario would be invalidated if the AUDUSD price falls below the ascending trendline, precisely the 0.6497 mark.

[Solid ECN]

GBPUSD Tests Ichimoku Resistance: Bullish Trend Insight



Solid ECN - The GBPUSD pair is currently testing the Ichimoku cloud resistance. Interestingly, this level is backed up by the descending trendline, depicted in red. The price of the GBPUSD stands at 1.261, and the technical indicators show signs of the bullish trend that began last week.

From a technical standpoint, the uptick momentum will likely continue if the bulls stabilize the price above the descending trendline. If this scenario comes into play, the next bullish target would be the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance level.

Conversely, the 1.2590 level supports the bullish scenario mentioned above. However, should the bears breach this level, the price would likely experience a further decline to 1.255, followed by 1.251.

[Solid ECN]

EURUSD Correction Phase and Fibonacci Retracement


Solid ECN - The EURUSD currency pair entered a correction phase after the bears hit the 1.06946 bottom. Currently, the price of the most traded currency pair is 1.0758, and it is about to test the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, which also aligns with the Ichimoku cloud. The main barrier for further rise is the 1.0805 resistance. Should this level be breached, the consolidation phase would extend to the 38.2% Fibonacci resistance, the upper band of the bearish flag.

On the flip side, if the EURUSD price falls below 1.07316, the downtrend is likely to continue, and the first target would be the February 14th low, the 1.0694 mark.

[Solid ECN]

Silver Prices Rise Amid U.S. Economic Shifts



Solid ECN - The price of silver climbed to almost $23 for each ounce as market participants weighed the possibility of the Federal Reserve reducing interest rates in May, following the latest economic indicators from the United States. The drop in U.S. retail sales was unexpectedly sharp at 0.8% for January, representing the most significant fall since March of the previous year.

Surprisingly, new unemployment claims fell to the lowest point in four weeks, mitigating the impact of the previously non-farm solid payroll figures. Additionally, Austan Goolsbee of the Chicago Federal Reserve advised caution against delaying interest rate cuts. In parallel, Michael Barr, the Federal Reserve's Vice Chair for Supervision, remarked that the recent inflation figures suggest a challenging journey to achieving the 2% inflation goal.