AUDUSD Trading Analysis: Clinging to Fibonacci Support and 50 EMA
Solid ECN – In today's trading sessions, the Australian dollar trades around 0.655 against the U.S. Dollar, clinging to the 23.6% Fibonacci support and the 50 EMA. However, other technical indicators are providing a bearish signal. The RSI indicator has crossed below the median line, and the bars of the awesome oscillator have turned red and are about to flip below the signal line.
From a technical standpoint, the 0.6532 level supports the bullish momentum, which broke out from the descending trendline, depicted in blue on the AUDUSD 4-hour chart. If the price stays above this level, the 38.2% Fibonacci support could still be the target. This resistance level is further supported by the upper line of the bullish flag, depicted in red on the chart.
Despite these factors, the bullish scenario seems weak for this pair. This can be figured from the candlesticks, where the number of full-bodied bear candles exceeds the bull candles.
Conversely, if the AUDUSD price falls below the 50 EMA, the decline from 0.6594 could lead to the bottom of the bullish flag. This scenario is more likely to play out.
Therefore, traders should monitor the 50 exponential moving average closely.