Market Update by Solidecn.com

[Solid ECN]

USDCHF - Growth is possible.


On the daily chart, the third wave of the higher level 3 develops, within which the upward first wave (1) of 3 formed, and a downward correction ended as the second wave (2) of 3. Now, the wave C of (2) has ended, and the development of the upward wave (3) of 3 is starting.


If the assumption is correct, the USDCHF pair will grow to the area of 0.99 – 1.0151. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 0.9085.

[Solid ECN]

NZDUSD - economic activity slows down in New Zealand


In recent weeks, macroeconomic data from New Zealand suggest a significant slowdown in economic activity, with Westpac's Q4 domestic consumer sentiment index at 75.6 points, down from Q3 87.6. Business confidence from Australia and New Zealand banking group ANZ fell in December to –70.2 points from –57.1 points a month earlier, which was the lowest on record since 1998, while the business activity indicator from the National Bank of New Zealand (NBNZ) accelerated the fall to –25.6% from –13.7% before.





The trading instrument is moving within a corrective uptrend with a local decline.


Resistance levels: 0.639, 0.651 | Support levels: 0.626, 0.613

[Solid ECN]

ETHUSD - Technical analysis


Since the end of last month, the quotes have been moving in the main sideways range of 1325.00–1090.00. The cryptocurrency market is uncertain, as fears of further negative consequences of the bankruptcy of the FTX exchange are holding back the start of corrective growth. However, in the short term, it will become possible if the consolidation above 1250.00 (Murrey level [2/8], the middle line of Bollinger bands) to the levels 1325.00 or 1500.00 (Murrey level [4/8], the upper limit of the long-term downward channel). The key "bearish" level is 1090.00, consolidation below, which will give the prospect of further decline to 1000.00 (Murrey level [0/8]), 875.00 (Murrey level [–1/8]).





Resistance levels: 1250, 1325, 1500 | Support levels: 1090, 1000, 875

[Solid ECN]

EURUSD under the negative pressure


The EURUSD pair traded negatively in the previous sessions to break the bullish channel’s support line and settles below it, but we notice that the EMA50 forms good support to protect the price from suffering more losses, accompanied by witnessing positive signals through stochastic, which supports the chances of regaining the bullish trend again. Therefore, we believe that the chances valid to trade positively today, and the targets begin by surpassing 1.0650 to ease the mission of heading towards 1.0745, noting that breaking 1.0580 will stop the expected rise and press on the price to test 1.0515 direct.





The expected trading range for today is between 1.0540 support and 1.0710 resistance.

[Solid ECN]

Crude Oil - Growth is possible.


On the daily chart, the first wave of the higher level (1) formed, and a downward correction develops as the second wave (2), within which the wave А of (2) formed. Now, the development of wave B of (2) has started, within which the wave of the lower level a of B is developing.


If the assumption is correct, the asset will grow to the area of 93.25 – 100.5. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 70.05.

[Solid ECN]

XAGUSD - The price is in a correction and may grow.

On the daily chart, a downward correction of the higher level ended as the second wave (2), and the third wave (3) develops, within which the first entry wave of the lower level 1 of (3) forms. Now, the wave iii of 1 has formed, and a local correction is developing as the wave iv of 1.

If the assumption is correct, the XAGUSD pair will grow to the area of 25 – 26. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 21.82.

[Solid ECN]

XAUUSD - The price is in a correction, a fall is possible.


On the daily chart, a downward correction ended as the fourth wave of the higher level (4), within which the wave C of (4) formed as a momentum, and the development of the fifth wave (5) started. Now, the first entry wave of the lower level 1 of (5) has formed, within which the wave v of 1 has developed, and a local correction has started as the second wave 2 of (5).


If the assumption is correct, the price of the asset will fall to the area of 1719.7 – 1695.85. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 1824.

[Solid ECN]

USDCAD - Growth within the local ascending corridor


The quotations were practically not affected by the report of Statistics Canada: in October, the volume of production grew by 2.8% to 72.6B Canadian dollars, and the oil industry (12.7%) and the food industry (2.9%) stand out among the leaders of the sector and the chemical industry (4.9%), while in the automotive industry (–3.2%) and mechanical engineering (–1.7%), a negative trend is observed. According to experts, growth in these sectors should not be expected soon, as there is a serious shortage of materials and microchips, which also reduced production and decreased exports of cars and spare parts by 1.8%.





On the daily chart of the asset, the trading instrument moves within the local ascending corridor. Technical indicators signal further growth.


Resistance levels: 1.37, 1.39 | Support levels: 1.354, 1.338

[Solid ECN]

Chart of the Day - EURGBP


Swiss National Bank has already announced a 50 bp rate hike but there are 2 more major central banks, who are also scheduled to make rate decision today and who are also expected to deliver 50 bp rate hikes - Bank of England (12:00 pm GMT) and European Central Bank (1:15 pm GMT). As both economists and money markets see 50 bp rate hike to be a done deal, market reaction will depend on the communications of the central bank a lot. This was the case with yesterday's FOMC decision and will be the case with BoE and ECB today as well. However, recent data suggests that there is a chance that ECB will deliver hawkish surprises and hiked by 75 basis points instead of 50 bp. On the other hand, cost of living crisis in the United Kingdom boosts odds for a softer stance from BoE.





Taking a look at EURGBP at D1 interval, we can see that the pair attempted to break below the 0.8580 support zone, marked with a 200-session moving average (purple line), but failed to do so. Pair is bouncing off the zone today and is expected to become much more volatile in the early afternoon when BoE and ECB announce their rate decisions. Should we see a hawkish surprise from ECB, the pair could spike towards the resistance zone in the 0.8700 area, especially if BoE delivers dovish surprise as well.

[Solid ECN]

USDJPY Loses Momentum

The USDJPY pair shows some slight bullish bias to fluctuate around 135.50 level, noticing that stochastic loses its positive momentum clearly, waiting to motivate the price to resume the expected bearish trend for the upcoming period, which its next targets located at 134.25 followed by 133. The EMA50 supports the expected decline, reminding you that it is important to hold below 136.50 to achieve the suggested targets.





The expected trading range for today is between 134.50 support and 136.30 resistance.